NI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NI - NiSource Inc.

ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
$47.21
0.59 (1.27%) ▲
5d: +1.29%
30d: +0.34%
90d: -0.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.65
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.14
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NI is currently trading at $47.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.10 to $47.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $46.10 - $47.62
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.36)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $46.10 - $47.62
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.09
Resistance Level $47.86
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.05
Wall Street Target $51.36 (+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.0%
Profit Margin 14.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 21.1 vs 21.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $47.26 (+0%)
2-Year Target $47.30 (+0%)
3-Year Target $47.35 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→21) PE COMPRESSION $47.25 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.1%) $63.86 (+35%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 9.1%) $61.32 (+30%)
Bear: (PE: 17.9, Growth: 9.1%) $52.12 (+10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.01
Bull Case $57.23 (+21%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case $52.03 (+10%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case $31.70 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 15, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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