NMM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMM - Navios Maritime Partners L.P.
$71.06
-0.22 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
-0.71%
30d:
+2.29%
90d:
+17.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.80
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMM is currently trading at $71.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.33 to $73.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.67 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.67 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$69.33 -
$73.01
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($87.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.33 -
$73.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.35
Resistance Level
$77.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.44
Wall Street Target
$87.67
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.02
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$59.49
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$54.44
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$71.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 3.2%)
$387.28
(+445%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: 3.2%)
$78.01
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 3.2%)
$66.31
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.59
Bull Case
$131.29
(+85%)
Analyst growth 66.9%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$119.36
(+68%)
Market implied 66.9%, PE stable at 7.5
Bear Case
$48.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$92.84
(+30.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
19
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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