NUE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NUE - Nucor Corporation
$180.96
3.24 (1.82%)
▲
5d:
+1.86%
30d:
+10.94%
90d:
+20.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
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3 traders called NUE this week
67% bullish • 1 bearish
67% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NUE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NUE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$279.48
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$173.53
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $180.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.07 to $177.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $183.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $183.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$166.07 -
$177.90
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NUE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($185.31)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$166.07 -
$177.90
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$165.68
Resistance Level
$183.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.54
Wall Street Target
$185.31
(+2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.7%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.79
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$176.64
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$174.52
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$181.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$424.70
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 12.5%)
$257.95
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 12.5%)
$219.26
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.43
Bull Case
$351.53
(+94%)
Analyst growth 79.8%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$319.57
(+77%)
Market implied 79.8%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$120.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$188.38
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 8:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-22
Michael D Keller
SELL
6088 shares
2025-08-22
Daniel R Needham
SELL
7200 shares
2025-08-18
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Advanced NUE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NUE price and gamma walls.
