CLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLF - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
$10.68
-0.15 (-1.39%)
▼
5d:
-3.35%
30d:
-25.05%
90d:
-17.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 17, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CLF is down 22.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-03-20 with 9,301 OI. Call ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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3 traders called CLF this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CLF trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -32.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CLF trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -32.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.99
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.14
33.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLF is currently trading at $10.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.51 to $13.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (47.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 32.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.15, while resistance sits at $11.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.41 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.15, while resistance sits at $11.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.41 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$10.51 -
$13.73
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($13.41)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.51 -
$13.73
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.15
Resistance Level
$11.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.60
Wall Street Target
$13.41
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.4%
Profit Margin
-7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-32.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 47.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-32.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.75
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.77
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.90
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→47)
$25.48
(+135%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 47.1
Stabilization Target:
$34.95
(+222.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+222.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 06, 2026 6:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Clifford T Smith
SELL
200000 shares
2026-02-17
Edilson Camara
BUY
19700 shares
2026-02-13
Lourenco Goncalves
SELL
3000000 shares
2026-02-11
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Advanced CLF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLF price and gamma walls.
