NVDA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVDA - Nvidia Corp
$211.50
3.67 (1.77%)
▲
5d:
+5.98%
30d:
+16.16%
90d:
+23.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
11d
NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)
See why NVDA plays a critical role in the upcoming CPU supercycle alongside GPUs. Read Deep Dive →
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
Get Alerted When NVDA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
70 traders called NVDA this week
85% bullish • 12 bearish
85% bullish • 12 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NVDA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NVDA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$382.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$237.53
11.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVDA is currently trading at $211.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.57 to $207.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.9) is in line with its historical norms (27.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVDA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $216.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $269.17 (+27.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVDA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $216.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $269.17 (+27.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$181.57 -
$207.83
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NVDA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($269.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$181.57 -
$207.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$194.74
Resistance Level
$216.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.92
Wall Street Target
$269.17
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
73.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.6%
Profit Margin
55.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.9 vs 27.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$210.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$209.39
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$208.34
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
$211.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.9, Growth: 67.3%)
$713.81
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 67.3%)
$581.84
(+175%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 67.3%)
$494.56
(+134%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.89
Bull Case
$367.35
(+74%)
Analyst growth 60.7%, PE expands to 46.8
Base Case
$333.96
(+58%)
Market implied 60.7%, PE stable at 42.5
Bear Case
$141.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.9 to 27.3
Stabilization Target:
$214.51
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 7:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NVDA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-25
Daniel Meuser
SELL
2026-03-25
Colette Kress
SELL
42650 shares
2026-03-20
Featured in Portfolios
NVDA is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
42 analysts |
$475 | 60 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$128 | 58 HOLD |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$295 | 62 BUY |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$551 | 57 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$304 | 64 BUY |
Advanced NVDA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NVDA price and gamma walls.
