NWS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWS - News Corporation Class B Common Stock
$30.88
-0.22 (-0.71%)
▼
5d:
-0.42%
30d:
+4.22%
90d:
+1.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.85
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWS is currently trading at $30.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.95 to $30.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.0) is in line with its historical norms (28.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NWS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NWS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$29.95 -
$30.83
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($29.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.95 -
$30.83
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.98
Resistance Level
$31.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.02
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(-6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.0 vs 28.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$29.42
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$28.71
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$30.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.0, Growth: 14.3%)
$46.14
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.3%)
$39.55
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.3%)
$33.62
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$48.92
(+58%)
Analyst growth 43.0%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$44.48
(+44%)
Market implied 43.0%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$21.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.0 to 28.0
Stabilization Target:
$33.24
(+7.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.6%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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