NYT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NYT - New York Times Co.
$73.85
2.06 (2.87%)
▲
5d:
+7.7%
30d:
-1.85%
90d:
-13.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NYT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NYT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.19
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NYT is currently trading at $73.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.54 to $75.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NYT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.11 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NYT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.11 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$71.54 -
$75.42
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.54 -
$75.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.55
Resistance Level
$77.04
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.10
Wall Street Target
$84.11
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.0%
Profit Margin
13.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.63
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$69.49
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$67.40
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→25)
$73.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 11.6%)
$102.60
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$96.75
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.6%)
$82.24
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.33
Bull Case
$108.37
(+47%)
Analyst growth 37.2%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$98.52
(+33%)
Market implied 37.2%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$48.82
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 25.3
Stabilization Target:
$80.90
(+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NYT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Arthur G Sulzberger
SELL
13000 shares
2026-03-03
William Bardeen
SELL
13000 shares
2026-03-03
R Anthony Benten
SELL
1913 shares
2026-02-17
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