OI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OI - O-I Glass, Inc.
$10.38
0.19 (1.85%)
β²
5d:
-2.18%
30d:
-22.72%
90d:
-30.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
β BUY SIGNAL: OI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
β BUY SIGNAL: OI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.44
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.66
41.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OI is currently trading at $10.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.22 to $13.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.84, while resistance sits at $10.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.89 (+75.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.84, while resistance sits at $10.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.89 (+75.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$10.22 -
$13.50
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.6% below Wall St target ($17.89)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.22 -
$13.50
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.84
Resistance Level
$10.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.76
Wall Street Target
$17.89
(+75.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.8%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 6.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.17
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.25
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.43
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5β7)
$10.76
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.5%)
$92.14
(+804%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 24.5%)
$19.64
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 24.5%)
$16.69
(+64%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.76
(+44.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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