OR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OR - OR Royalties Inc.
$39.44
-6.27 (-13.72%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OR is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OR is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.69
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OR is currently trading at $39.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.37 to $43.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.7) compared to its historical average (32.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: OR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: OR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$36.37 -
$43.88
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.37 -
$43.88
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.90
Resistance Level
$47.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.71
Wall Street Target
$46.25
(+1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
70.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
528.5%
Profit Margin
60.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
35.7 vs 32.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.45
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$49.25
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$51.12
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→32)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.81
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.7, Growth: 49.1%)
$151.66
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 49.1%)
$94.71
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 49.1%)
$80.50
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.23 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.09
Bull Case
$47.62
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$39.44
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.2
Bear Case
$30.17
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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