PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$56.35
1.71 (3.14%)
▲
5d:
+9.49%
30d:
-8.52%
90d:
+6.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
PAAS is down 12.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-05-15 with 4,789 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.67
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $56.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.45 to $64.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 258.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.38 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.38 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$51.45 -
$64.37
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($72.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$51.45 -
$64.37
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.94
Resistance Level
$53.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.59
Wall Street Target
$72.38
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
258.6%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 14.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.97
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$47.55
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$44.37
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$54.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.8%)
$128.53
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 6.8%)
$66.64
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$56.65
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$89.89
(+83%)
Analyst growth 75.1%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$81.72
(+66%)
Market implied 75.1%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$31.73
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$67.42
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 10:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
