RUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RUN - Sunrun Inc
$12.74
-0.37 (-2.82%)
▼
5d:
-6.32%
30d:
-16.46%
90d:
-9.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
Get Alerted When RUN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.70
Based on -13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RUN is currently trading at $12.74, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.55 to $14.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 214.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RUN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.11 (+50.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RUN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.11 (+50.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.55 -
$14.96
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RUN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.0% below Wall St target ($19.11)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.55 -
$14.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.36
Resistance Level
$16.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.94
Wall Street Target
$19.11
(+50.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
214.4%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 25.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.47
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.32
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.29
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→25)
$15.66
(+23%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -31.3%)
$13.54
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: -31.3%)
$9.29
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: -31.3%)
$7.89
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$7.21
(-43%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.8
Base Case
$6.55
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.2
Bear Case
$8.91
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 25.2
Stabilization Target:
$21.49
(+68.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+68.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is RUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Barak
SELL
8039 shares
2026-04-09
Danny Abajian
SELL
132953 shares
2026-04-06
Jeanna Steele
SELL
76478 shares
2026-04-06
Featured in Portfolios
RUN is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Solar Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Solar by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FSLR
First Solar Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$247 | 50 HOLD |
|
NXT
Nextracker Inc. Class A … |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$151 | 48 HOLD |
|
ENPH
Enphase Energy Inc |
HOLD
40 analysts |
$48 | 56 HOLD |
|
ARRY
Array Technologies Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$10 | 54 HOLD |
|
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Grou… |
BUY
21 analysts |
$10 | 50 HOLD |
Advanced RUN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RUN price and gamma walls.
