RYN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYN - Rayonier Inc.
$19.89
-0.33 (-1.66%)
▼
5d:
-2.62%
30d:
-5.44%
90d:
-15.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $19.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.55 to $21.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.7) compared to its historical average (39.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.55 -
$21.38
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($26.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.55 -
$21.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.75
Resistance Level
$21.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.73
Wall Street Target
$26.50
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
233.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.5%
Profit Margin
68.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.7 vs 39.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.19
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$18.21
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$17.28
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→40)
$20.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.7, Growth: 24.9%)
$39.39
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 24.9%)
$25.74
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 24.9%)
$21.88
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$28.70
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.3%, PE expands to 47.9
Base Case
$26.09
(+29%)
Market implied 30.3%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case
$13.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.7 to 39.5
Stabilization Target:
$23.68
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wayne Wasechek
SELL
2920 shares
2026-04-20
Eric J Cremers
SELL
169200 shares
2026-02-27
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