SCCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation
$159.28
-2.79 (-1.72%)
▼
5d:
-0.19%
30d:
-27.04%
90d:
+6.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
SCCO is down 9.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $195 2026-06-18 with 1,909 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SCCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.52
Based on -8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.21
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $159.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.50 to $206.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.1) is in line with its historical norms (30.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $151.37, while resistance sits at $179.95.
Market Sentiment: SCCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $151.37, while resistance sits at $179.95.
Market Sentiment: SCCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$164.50 -
$206.92
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SCCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($153.27)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$164.50 -
$206.92
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$151.37
Resistance Level
$179.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.05
Wall Street Target
$153.27
(-3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.4%
Profit Margin
32.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 30.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$155.46
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$151.73
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$148.08
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→30)
$159.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.0, Growth: -20.4%)
$116.12
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -20.4%)
$92.52
(-42%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -20.4%)
$78.65
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case
$187.60
(+18%)
Analyst growth 11.7%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$170.55
(+7%)
Market implied 11.7%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$103.84
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.0 to 30.2
Stabilization Target:
$171.50
(+7.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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