TGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$6.93
-0.07 (-1.00%)
▼
5d:
+5.48%
30d:
-16.51%
90d:
+2.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TGB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TGB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.29
32.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $6.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.57 to $7.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.29, while resistance sits at $8.35.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.29, while resistance sits at $8.35.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.57 -
$7.61
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.57 -
$7.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.29
Resistance Level
$8.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.76
Wall Street Target
$7.46
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
70.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-45.5%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 8.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.48
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$6.06
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$5.66
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$6.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 73.7%)
$75.35
(+987%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 73.7%)
$23.39
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 73.7%)
$19.88
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.34
Bull Case
$8.37
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$6.93
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$5.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$8.51
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 1:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
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