TGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGB - Taseko Mines Limited
$6.61
-0.22 (-3.23%)
▼
5d:
-12.69%
30d:
-14.49%
90d:
-17.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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1 traders called TGB this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TGB is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TGB is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.75
38.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGB is currently trading at $6.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.01 to $7.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.6) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.72 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.72 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.01 -
$7.66
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.72)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.01 -
$7.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.60
Resistance Level
$8.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.61
Wall Street Target
$7.72
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
70.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-45.5%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.24
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$5.71
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$5.22
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$6.79
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 73.1%)
$77.02
(+1028%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 73.1%)
$23.05
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 73.1%)
$19.59
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.75 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.41
Bull Case
$8.25
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$6.83
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$5.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$8.89
(+30.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
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