FCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$66.14
-1.02 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
+9.12%
30d:
-3.73%
90d:
+6.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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7 traders called FCX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.76
21.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $66.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.08 to $68.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 153.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $55.49, while resistance sits at $68.85.
Market Sentiment: FCX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $55.49, while resistance sits at $68.85.
Market Sentiment: FCX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$59.08 -
$68.19
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.52)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.08 -
$68.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.49
Resistance Level
$68.85
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.85
Wall Street Target
$67.52
(+2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
153.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.08
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$64.04
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$63.02
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$66.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 41.9%)
$233.43
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 41.9%)
$189.10
(+186%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 41.9%)
$160.73
(+143%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$144.80
(+119%)
Analyst growth 96.0%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$131.64
(+99%)
Market implied 96.0%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$45.67
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$69.27
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen T Higgins
SELL
29654 shares
2026-02-20
Ellie L Mikes
SELL
11000 shares
2026-02-18
Maree E Robertson
SELL
48500 shares
2026-02-13
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