FCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$60.97
0.44 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
-2.91%
30d:
-14.99%
90d:
-0.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
18d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.6% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.6% annual earnings decline despite 153% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.91
30.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $60.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.30 to $68.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 153.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.50 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.50 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.30 -
$68.94
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.30 -
$68.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.85
Resistance Level
$72.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.43
Wall Street Target
$70.50
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
153.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.56
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$54.33
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$51.29
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$61.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 41.6%)
$244.12
(+300%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 41.6%)
$172.94
(+184%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 41.6%)
$147.00
(+141%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$133.17
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$121.06
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$41.16
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$72.71
(+19.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen T Higgins
SELL
29654 shares
2026-02-20
Ellie L Mikes
SELL
11000 shares
2026-02-18
Maree E Robertson
SELL
48500 shares
2026-02-13
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