HBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HBM - Hudbay Minerals Inc.
$22.59
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-3.99%
30d:
-29.12%
90d:
+2.68%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HBM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HBM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.38
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HBM is currently trading at $22.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.00 to $29.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 91.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.60 (+48.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.60 (+48.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.00 -
$29.27
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.7% below Wall St target ($33.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.00 -
$29.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.13
Resistance Level
$32.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.72
Wall Street Target
$33.60
(+48.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
91.9%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.48
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$22.36
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$22.25
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$22.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.0%)
$55.78
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 13.0%)
$32.58
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 13.0%)
$27.69
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$26.43
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.3%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$24.02
(+6%)
Market implied 6.3%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$15.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$22.91
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HBM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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