SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$89.31
1.08 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
+5.23%
30d:
-2.21%
90d:
-17.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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1 traders called SE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$199.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.03
28.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $89.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.75 to $90.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (19.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.84, while resistance sits at $99.97.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.87 (+58.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.84, while resistance sits at $99.97.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.87 (+58.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$83.75 -
$90.09
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.5% below Wall St target ($139.87)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.75 -
$90.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.84
Resistance Level
$99.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.95
Wall Street Target
$139.87
(+58.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 19.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.99
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$79.96
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$76.12
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$88.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 39.6%)
$312.70
(+254%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 39.6%)
$240.09
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 39.6%)
$204.08
(+131%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$194.33
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$176.66
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$60.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 19.7
Stabilization Target:
$102.57
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-22
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800 shares
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