SLQT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SLQT - SelectQuote, Inc.

INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE
$1.42
-0.02 (-1.39%) β–Ό
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SLQT is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.83
62.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SLQT is currently trading at $1.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.36 to $1.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.3) compared to its historical average (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SLQT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.50 (+212.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $1.36 - $1.60
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 212.5% below Wall St target ($4.50)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $1.36 - $1.60
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.40
Resistance Level $1.72
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.27
Wall Street Target $4.50 (+212.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -31.1%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -23.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.3 vs 7.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -23.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.30 (-10%)
2-Year Target $1.17 (-19%)
3-Year Target $1.05 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3β†’7) $2.31 (+60%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 300.0%) $33.12 (+2200%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.3, Growth: 300.0%) $4.86 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 2.8, Growth: 300.0%) $4.13 (+187%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (67x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 66.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.02
Bull Case $1.74 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 70.0
Base Case $1.44 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 66.7
Bear Case $1.10 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 60.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.3 to 7.2
Stabilization Target: $3.17 (+120.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +120.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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