WTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WTW - Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
$248.38
0.74 (0.30%)
▲
5d:
-3.11%
30d:
-16.04%
90d:
-13.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WTW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WTW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$485.33
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$301.35
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WTW is currently trading at $248.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $256.08 to $294.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $240.61, while resistance sits at $266.49.
Market Sentiment: WTW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $334.32 (+34.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $240.61, while resistance sits at $266.49.
Market Sentiment: WTW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $334.32 (+34.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$256.08 -
$294.20
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($334.32)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$256.08 -
$294.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$240.61
Resistance Level
$266.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.21
Wall Street Target
$334.32
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$228.51
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$210.23
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$193.41
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$248.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.6%)
$717.92
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 13.6%)
$364.59
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 13.6%)
$309.90
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.04
Bull Case
$356.23
(+43%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$323.85
(+30%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$169.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$319.12
(+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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