TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$58.52
-1.76 (-2.92%)
▼
5d:
-0.09%
30d:
-12.84%
90d:
+9.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.46
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.62
8.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $58.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.35 to $67.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.29, while resistance sits at $61.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.62 (+32.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.29, while resistance sits at $61.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.62 (+32.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$58.35 -
$67.38
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($77.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$58.35 -
$67.38
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.29
Resistance Level
$61.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$77.63
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.2%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.29
(0%)
2-Year Target
$58.05
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$57.82
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$58.82
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 19.2%)
$201.33
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 19.2%)
$99.10
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 19.2%)
$84.23
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.33
Bull Case
$109.10
(+83%)
Analyst growth 73.5%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$99.18
(+67%)
Market implied 73.5%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$38.88
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$59.53
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 4:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kieran Hegarty
SELL
11980 shares
2026-02-17
Andra Rush
BUY
2120 shares
2025-10-31
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