WCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.
$166.08
3.26 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
+5.66%
30d:
-2.21%
90d:
-5.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WCN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WCN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.67
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.71
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WCN is currently trading at $166.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $160.83 to $170.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.3) is in line with its historical norms (28.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $166.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WCN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $198.84 (+22.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $166.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WCN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $198.84 (+22.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$160.83 -
$170.18
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($198.84)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$160.83 -
$170.18
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.90
Resistance Level
$166.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.32
Wall Street Target
$198.84
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.3 vs 28.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$157.77
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$152.88
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$148.14
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→29)
$162.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: 13.5%)
$237.99
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.5%)
$202.09
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.5%)
$171.77
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.16
Bull Case
$265.88
(+64%)
Analyst growth 48.7%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$241.71
(+49%)
Market implied 48.7%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$110.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.3 to 28.9
Stabilization Target:
$178.78
(+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is WCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward E Guillet
SELL
9000 shares
2025-10-28
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