WCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.
$167.60
0.37 (0.22%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WCN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WCN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.93
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WCN is currently trading at $167.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.07 to $175.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.7) is in line with its historical norms (30.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $204.25 (+22.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WCN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $204.25 (+22.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$166.07 -
$175.66
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($204.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$166.07 -
$175.66
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.11
Resistance Level
$172.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.71
Wall Street Target
$204.25
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.7 vs 30.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$165.72
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$164.23
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$162.76
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→31)
$167.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.7, Growth: 9.5%)
$219.68
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.5%)
$164.91
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$140.17
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 21.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.83
Bull Case
$202.38
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$167.60
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$128.21
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.7 to 30.6
Stabilization Target:
$172.26
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
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Advanced WCN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WCN price and gamma walls.
