RSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$209.91
1.86 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
-0.06%
30d:
+3.06%
90d:
-6.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$286.30
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$177.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $209.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $201.63 to $210.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.0) is in line with its historical norms (27.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $212.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.58 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $212.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.58 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$201.63 -
$210.66
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($243.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$201.63 -
$210.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.62
Resistance Level
$212.79
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.04
Wall Street Target
$243.58
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.0 vs 27.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$205.50
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$201.19
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$196.96
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$209.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$283.95
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$239.03
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$203.17
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.97
Bull Case
$264.68
(+26%)
Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 32.8
Base Case
$240.62
(+15%)
Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$141.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.0 to 27.7
Stabilization Target:
$223.29
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-12-18
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