ADI Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 58/100

Analog Devices Inc (Technology) ยท $350.14 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13

Quick Take

ADI is trading at $350.14 with RSI at 54 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 39% โ€” 46% below its 30-day average of 73%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
54
IV Today
39.3%
IV vs 30d Avg
-46%
MACD
bullish
ADX
26
MFI
55

The Setup

ADI Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $350.14
SHORT CALL
$380 Jun '26 ยท $10.8/sh
Net Cost
$33,934
Max Profit
+$4,066
Break-even
$339.34
Projected P&L at Target
+$4,066 (12.0%)
P&L at Expiry Now $350 $245 $350 $455

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different ADI prices by expiry:

ADI Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$280 (-20%) -$5,986 -$5,939 -$5,923 -$5,923
$298 (-15%) -$4,334 -$4,230 -$4,177 -$4,172
$315 (-10%) -$2,780 -$2,589 -$2,450 -$2,421
$333 (-5%) -$1,367 -$1,073 -$793 -$671
$343 (-2%) -$602 -$247 +$132 +$380
$350 (0%) โ† now -$132 +$260 +$704 +$1,080
$357 (+2%) +$306 +$729 +$1,233 +$1,780
$368 (+5%) +$901 +$1,361 +$1,933 +$2,831
$380 (+9%) โ† target +$1,504 +$1,987 +$2,599 +$4,066
$385 (+10%) +$1,726 +$2,212 +$2,826 +$4,066
$403 (+15%) +$2,359 +$2,828 +$3,393 +$4,066
$420 (+20%) +$2,823 +$3,245 +$3,707 +$4,066

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 54 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -46% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 26 โ€” moderate trend
  • TTM Squeeze ON โ€” breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies

Key Risks

ADI has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if ADI approaches the strike before expiry.
ADX at 26 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.
TTM Squeeze is ON โ€” a volatility breakout may be imminent. If the breakout is to the upside, your short call will be tested quickly.
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