AMGN Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 50/100

Amgen Inc (Healthcare) ยท $351.02 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13

Quick Take

AMGN is trading at $351.02 with RSI at 50 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 30% โ€” 48% below its 30-day average of 57%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
50
IV Today
29.9%
IV vs 30d Avg
-48%
MACD
bearish
ADX
19
MFI
36

The Setup

AMGN Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $351.02
SHORT CALL
$380 Jun '26 ยท $7.0/sh
Net Cost
$34,402
Max Profit
+$3,598
Break-even
$344.02
Projected P&L at Target
+$3,598 (10.5%)
P&L at Expiry Now $351 $246 $351 $456

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different AMGN prices by expiry:

AMGN Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$281 (-20%) -$6,343 -$6,324 -$6,320 -$6,320
$298 (-15%) -$4,643 -$4,587 -$4,566 -$4,565
$316 (-10%) -$3,022 -$2,896 -$2,820 -$2,810
$333 (-5%) -$1,534 -$1,312 -$1,119 -$1,055
$344 (-2%) -$730 -$445 -$157 -$2
$351 (0%) โ† now -$237 +$87 +$442 +$700
$358 (+2%) +$218 +$577 +$994 +$1,402
$369 (+5%) +$830 +$1,227 +$1,718 +$2,455
$380 (+8%) โ† target +$1,393 +$1,813 +$2,342 +$3,598
$386 (+10%) +$1,654 +$2,076 +$2,605 +$3,598
$404 (+15%) +$2,252 +$2,650 +$3,115 +$3,598
$421 (+20%) +$2,661 +$3,003 +$3,356 +$3,598

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 50
  • IV -48% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk)
  • ADX at 19 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

The main risk is missing upside if AMGN rallies sharply. The premium received ($X per share) provides a buffer, but gains above the strike are forfeited.
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