LLY Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 70/100

LLY ยท $939.47 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13

Quick Take

LLY is trading at $939.47 with RSI at 45 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 38% โ€” 30% below its 30-day average of 55%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
45
IV Today
38.3%
IV vs 30d Avg
-30%
MACD
bullish
ADX
20
MFI
48

The Setup

LLY Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $939.47
SHORT CALL
$1010 Jun '26 ยท $35.8/sh
Net Cost
$90,367
Max Profit
+$10,633
Break-even
$903.67
Projected P&L at Target
+$10,633 (11.8%)
P&L at Expiry Now $939 $658 $939 $1221

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different LLY prices by expiry:

LLY Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$752 (-20%) -$15,469 -$15,285 -$15,213 -$15,209
$799 (-15%) -$11,127 -$10,757 -$10,539 -$10,512
$846 (-10%) -$7,079 -$6,455 -$5,952 -$5,815
$893 (-5%) -$3,433 -$2,529 -$1,611 -$1,117
$921 (-2%) -$1,475 -$415 +$770 +$1,701
$939 (0%) โ† now -$274 +$877 +$2,228 +$3,580
$958 (+2%) +$843 +$2,069 +$3,563 +$5,459
$986 (+5%) +$2,356 +$3,665 +$5,312 +$8,277
$1010 (+8%) โ† target +$3,475 +$4,820 +$6,529 +$10,633
$1033 (+10%) +$4,459 +$5,813 +$7,519 +$10,633
$1080 (+15%) +$6,075 +$7,369 +$8,913 +$10,633
$1127 (+20%) +$7,271 +$8,432 +$9,690 +$10,633

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 45
  • IV -30% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 20 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

LLY has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if LLY approaches the strike before expiry.
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