AB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AB - AllianceBernstein Holding, L.P.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$42.54
1.25 (3.03%) β–²
5d: +9.19%
30d: +8.97%
90d: +6.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: AB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.71
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.46
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AB is currently trading at $42.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.34 to $40.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.55, while resistance sits at $44.11. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: AB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $38.34 - $40.31
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.86)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with -40.3% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $38.34 - $40.31
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.55
Resistance Level $44.11
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.36
Wall Street Target $40.86 (-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -40.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -28.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 10.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.65 (+3%)
2-Year Target $44.78 (+5%)
3-Year Target $45.95 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’11) PE COMPRESSION $42.45 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.8%) $119.68 (+181%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 12.8%) $60.98 (+43%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 12.8%) $51.84 (+22%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.02
Bull Case $58.05 (+37%)
Analyst growth 24.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case $52.77 (+24%)
Market implied 24.0%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case $28.95 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 4:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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