ABCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABCB - Ameris Bancorp
$82.56
-1.11 (-1.33%)
▼
5d:
-4.58%
30d:
-0.08%
90d:
-1.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ABCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ABCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.29
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $82.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.26 to $85.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.86 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.86 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$82.26 -
$85.95
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.26 -
$85.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.94
Resistance Level
$87.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.53
Wall Street Target
$93.86
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.3%
Profit Margin
37.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.73
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$80.92
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$80.11
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$82.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 6.2%)
$189.27
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 6.2%)
$98.85
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$84.02
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.36
Bull Case
$103.66
(+26%)
Analyst growth 12.6%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$94.23
(+14%)
Market implied 12.6%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$56.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$85.24
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Leo J Hill
SELL
2026-03-09
Douglas D Strange
SELL
1 shares
2026-02-24
Nicole S Stokes
SELL
1 shares
2026-02-24
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