ACI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACI - Albertsons Companies, Inc.
$16.65
0.06 (0.36%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ACI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.94
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.25
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACI is currently trading at $16.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.73 to $17.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$16.73 -
$17.42
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($22.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.73 -
$17.42
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.40
Resistance Level
$17.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.21
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.32
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$16.06
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$15.81
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$16.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$63.14
(+281%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$20.43
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$17.36
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.54
Bull Case
$27.41
(+65%)
Analyst growth 49.3%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$24.92
(+50%)
Market implied 49.3%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$11.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$17.48
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anuj Dhanda
SELL
230000 shares
2025-10-16
Michael T Theilmann
SELL
100000 shares
2025-10-16
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-09-11
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Advanced ACI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACI price and gamma walls.
