ACVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACVA - ACV Auctions Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$7.81
-0.07 (-0.89%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.52
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACVA is currently trading at $7.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.12 to $8.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.4) is in line with its historical norms (34.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.71 (+37.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $8.12 - $8.73
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($10.71)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.12 - $8.73
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.68
Resistance Level $8.95
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.39
Wall Street Target $10.71 (+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.5%
Profit Margin -9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 31.4 vs 34.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.61 (-3%)
2-Year Target $7.41 (-5%)
3-Year Target $7.22 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→34) $7.82 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 31.4, Growth: 48.0%) $25.32 (+224%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 48.0%) $17.99 (+130%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 48.0%) $15.29 (+96%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.4 to 34.0
Stabilization Target: $8.46 (+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.3%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Peer SELL 1750 shares 2025-10-15
Andrew Peer SELL 1750 shares 2025-09-15

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Advanced ACVA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACVA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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