Is ADEA stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ADEA is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: ADEA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ADEA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ADEA to be between $17.58 and $19.21. The current price is $18.09.

What is the analyst price target for ADEA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ADEA is $22.75. This implies a potential upside of 25.6% from current levels.

ADEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ADEA - Adeia Inc. Common Stock

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES

$18.09

-0.02 (-0.11%) ▼

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your ADEA Gains

Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 23, 2026 22d

Smart Money Accumulation

ADEA is down 6.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17.5 2026-03-20 with 84 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADEA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -7.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$14.66

Based on -2.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$9.10

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADEA is currently trading at $18.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.58 to $19.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $17.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.75 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Fair Price Range $17.58 - $19.21

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 80.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($22.75)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.4% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $17.58 - $19.21

Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.40 (7.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.91

Resistance Level $20.33

Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.81

Wall Street Target $22.75 (+25.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.9%

Profit Margin 19.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium

PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 11.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $18.74 (+4%)

2-Year Target $19.40 (+7%)

3-Year Target $20.08 (+11%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→12) PE COMPRESSION $18.02 (-1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -7.9%) $24.66 (+36%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: -7.9%) $14.17 (-22%)

Bear: (PE: 10.9, Growth: -7.9%) $12.04 (-34%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 28.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65

Bull Case $40.41 (+123%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.1

Base Case $36.74 (+103%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.3

Bear Case $12.49 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Net

NEUTRAL

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Advanced ADEA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADEA price and gamma walls.

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