ADEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADEA - Adeia Inc. Common Stock
$25.07
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+2.91%
30d:
+20.82%
90d:
+45.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
ADEA is down 5.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 1,191 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADEA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADEA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.79
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADEA is currently trading at $25.07, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.07 to $24.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.57, while resistance sits at $26.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.57, while resistance sits at $26.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$20.07 -
$24.01
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($33.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.8% growth expectation is conservative given 107% recent growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.07 -
$24.01
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.58
Resistance Level
$26.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.75
Wall Street Target
$33.00
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
106.7%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 13.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.28
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$29.68
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$32.29
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 4.2%)
$34.84
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 4.2%)
$28.37
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 4.2%)
$22.02
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case
$38.60
(+58%)
Analyst growth 51.2%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$35.09
(+43%)
Market implied 51.2%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$15.78
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 2:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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