ADMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ADMA - ADMA Biologics, Inc.

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$8.38
0.11 (1.33%) ▲
5d: +6.35%
30d: -23.89%
90d: -47.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.76
52.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADMA is currently trading at $8.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.86 to $11.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADMA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.50, while resistance sits at $10.56.

Market Sentiment: ADMA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.75 (+99.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $8.86 - $11.02
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 99.9% below Wall St target ($16.75)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.86 - $11.02
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.50
Resistance Level $10.56
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.93
Wall Street Target $16.75 (+99.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.8%
Profit Margin 32.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.9 vs 13.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.54 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.79 (-19%)
3-Year Target $6.11 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→14) $10.71 (+28%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 27.3%) $48.19 (+475%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 27.3%) $17.29 (+106%)
Bear: (PE: 6.7, Growth: 27.3%) $14.70 (+75%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case $14.14 (+69%)
Analyst growth 55.4%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case $12.85 (+53%)
Market implied 55.4%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case $5.62 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 13.9
Stabilization Target: $14.69 (+75.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +75.3%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kaitlin M Kestenberg-Mes… SELL 10096 shares 2026-03-09
Steve Elms BUY 7000 shares 2026-03-05

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