AEBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEBI - Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock
$9.58
0.20 (2.13%)
▲
5d:
+3.68%
30d:
-34.74%
90d:
-24.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEBI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEBI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.75
57.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEBI is currently trading at $9.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.23 to $14.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.91, while resistance sits at $11.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+56.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.91, while resistance sits at $11.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+56.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$10.23 -
$14.46
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.6% below Wall St target ($15.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.23 -
$14.46
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.91
Resistance Level
$11.18
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.23
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+56.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.5%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→14)
$13.72
(+43%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 67.7%)
$91.99
(+860%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 67.7%)
$32.33
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 67.7%)
$27.48
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.89
Bull Case
$11.99
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$9.93
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$7.60
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$18.81
(+96.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+96.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEBI showing a specific setup today?
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