AEBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEBI - Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock
$14.64
0.64 (4.57%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AEBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AEBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.14
9.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEBI is currently trading at $14.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.17 to $14.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$13.17 -
$14.59
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEBI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.17 -
$14.59
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.51
Resistance Level
$14.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.11
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.22
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$14.45
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$14.68
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 117.2%)
$69.75
(+398%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 117.2%)
$47.25
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 117.2%)
$40.16
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.24 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.11
Bull Case
$17.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$14.64
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$11.20
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
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