AEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEE - Ameren Corporation
$115.02
2.83 (2.52%)
▲
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
+7.72%
90d:
+3.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.37
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEE is currently trading at $115.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.04 to $112.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.7) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $118.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $118.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$107.04 -
$112.93
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($120.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.04 -
$112.93
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.17
Resistance Level
$118.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.68
Wall Street Target
$120.20
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.40
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$117.80
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$119.21
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$115.12
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$164.19
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 8.8%)
$148.32
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 8.8%)
$126.08
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$129.75
(+13%)
Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$117.96
(+3%)
Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$76.29
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-06
Michael L Moehn
SELL
6500 shares
2026-02-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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