AEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEG - Aegon Ltd.
$7.79
-0.02 (-0.26%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 30.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 30.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.53
Based on -27.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEG is currently trading at $7.79, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.62 to $7.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 30.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$7.62 -
$7.81
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.27)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 30.9% growth with 3.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.62 -
$7.81
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.44
Resistance Level
$7.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.96
Wall Street Target
$8.27
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.3%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+30.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 8.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+30.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.22
(+31%)
2-Year Target
$13.38
(+71%)
3-Year Target
$17.52
(+124%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.85
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -59.6%)
$6.70
(+-14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: -59.6%)
$5.69
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: -59.6%)
$2.55
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$4.27
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$3.89
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$5.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AEG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEG price and gamma walls.
