AEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEM - Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.
$191.86
-1.54 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
+4.25%
30d:
-23.74%
90d:
+4.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
AEM is down 5.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $220 2026-04-17 with 1,196 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$267.01
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.79
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEM is currently trading at $191.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.49 to $238.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $175.56, while resistance sits at $214.99.
Market Sentiment: AEM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.14 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $175.56, while resistance sits at $214.99.
Market Sentiment: AEM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.14 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$193.49 -
$238.51
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($256.14)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$193.49 -
$238.51
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.56
Resistance Level
$214.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.70
Wall Street Target
$256.14
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
60.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.3%
Profit Margin
37.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 16.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$181.60
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$170.52
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$160.12
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$194.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 1.3%)
$328.79
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 1.3%)
$201.10
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 1.3%)
$170.93
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.87
Bull Case
$306.93
(+67%)
Analyst growth 55.8%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$279.03
(+52%)
Market implied 55.8%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$121.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$234.33
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEM price and gamma walls.
