AENT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AENT - Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
$6.91
-0.48 (-6.50%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AENT is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AENT is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.85
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.74
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AENT is currently trading at $6.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.41 to $8.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.33 (+39.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.33 (+39.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$7.41 -
$8.00
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AENT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.8% below Wall St target ($10.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.41 -
$8.00
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.76
Resistance Level
$7.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.87
Wall Street Target
$10.33
(+39.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1129.3%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.57
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$7.75
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$7.93
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$23.22
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$11.31
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 15.3%)
$9.62
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39
Bull Case
$14.06
(+104%)
Analyst growth 74.4%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$12.78
(+85%)
Market implied 74.4%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$4.98
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AENT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AENT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AENT price and gamma walls.
