AENT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AENT - Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
$6.55
0.03 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-12.32%
30d:
+17.38%
90d:
-22.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AENT is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AENT is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.37
Based on -8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.09
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AENT is currently trading at $6.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.60 to $7.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.03, while resistance sits at $7.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+38.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.03, while resistance sits at $7.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+38.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$5.60 -
$7.19
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.0% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.60 -
$7.19
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.03
Resistance Level
$7.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.87
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+38.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.7%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 11.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.00
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$7.52
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$8.08
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -20.3%)
$7.66
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: -20.3%)
$4.75
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: -20.3%)
$3.84
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$7.92
(+8%)
Analyst growth 9.3%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$7.20
(-2%)
Market implied 9.3%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$4.48
(-39%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AENT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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