AESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AESI - Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
$19.45
0.58 (3.07%)
▲
5d:
+3.24%
30d:
+46.35%
90d:
+64.83%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AESI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AESI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.85
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AESI is currently trading at $19.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.59 to $18.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 53.0) compared to its historical average (63.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AESI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AESI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.59 -
$18.84
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($17.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.59 -
$18.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.42
Resistance Level
$19.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
53.04
Wall Street Target
$17.82
(-8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
-9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
53.0 vs 63.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.30
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$17.22
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$16.21
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→64)
$19.43
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 53.0 to 63.6
Stabilization Target:
$23.32
(+19.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 19, 2026 2:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chris Scholla
SELL
8912 shares
2026-03-06
Gregory M Shepard
SELL
130000 shares
2026-02-18
Gregory M Shepard
SELL
100000 shares
2026-02-17
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