AGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGI - Alamos Gold Inc. Class A Common Shares
$36.90
-5.22 (-12.39%)
▼
5d:
-15.02%
30d:
-5.65%
90d:
+15.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
15d
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2 traders called AGI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AGI is down 15.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AGI is down 15.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.60
25.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGI is currently trading at $36.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.14 to $42.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.50 (+39.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.50 (+39.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$39.14 -
$42.75
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-12.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.6% below Wall St target ($51.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.14 -
$42.75
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.16
Resistance Level
$45.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.94
Wall Street Target
$51.50
(+39.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.0%
Profit Margin
33.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 15.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.65
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$34.43
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$33.26
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$36.98
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 87.1%)
$199.20
(+440%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 87.1%)
$124.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 87.1%)
$105.86
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$97.75
(+165%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$88.86
(+141%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case
$30.21
(-18%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$41.02
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AGI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGI price and gamma walls.
