AHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AHR - American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
$46.91
-0.31 (-0.66%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AHR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AHR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AHR is currently trading at $46.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.63 to $48.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 66.5) is in line with its historical norms (66.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 306.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.38, while resistance sits at $48.80.
Market Sentiment: AHR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.17 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.38, while resistance sits at $48.80.
Market Sentiment: AHR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.17 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$46.63 -
$48.11
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AHR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.17)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$46.63 -
$48.11
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.38
Resistance Level
$48.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
66.51
Wall Street Target
$56.17
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
306.2%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
66.5 vs 66.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.17
(0%)
2-Year Target
$47.13
(0%)
3-Year Target
$47.08
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 67→67)
$47.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 66.5, Growth: 39.2%)
$127.41
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 39.2%)
$42.72
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 39.2%)
$36.31
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 53.19 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.88
Bull Case
$56.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 55.9
Base Case
$46.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 53.2
Bear Case
$35.89
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 47.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 66.5 to 66.8
Stabilization Target:
$47.43
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AHR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark E Foster
SELL
3850 shares
2025-09-03
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Advanced AHR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AHR price and gamma walls.
