AIFU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AIFU - AIFU Inc. Class A Ordinary Share

Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
$2.00
-0.03 (-1.48%) β–Ό
5d: -11.11%
30d: -26.25%
90d: -52.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: AIFU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.82
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.37
15.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AIFU is currently trading at $2.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.13 to $2.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.9) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AIFU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.75, while resistance sits at $2.40.

Market Sentiment: AIFU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+195.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $2.13 - $2.90
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 195.6% below Wall St target ($6.00)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.1%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.13 - $2.90
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.75
Resistance Level $2.40
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.87
Wall Street Target $6.00 (+195.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -73.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.8%
Profit Margin -1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.9 vs 5.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.84 (-10%)
2-Year Target $1.66 (-18%)
3-Year Target $1.50 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4β†’5) $2.02 (-1%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 0.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.62
Bull Case $1.13 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 0.2
Base Case $1.02 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 0.2
Bear Case $1.39 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 0.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 5.2
Stabilization Target: $2.72 (+34.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +34.2%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
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