AKBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AKBA - Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$1.19
-0.06 (-4.80%) β–Ό
5d: -9.85%
30d: -15.6%
90d: -19.05%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026 5d
Smart Money Accumulation

AKBA is down 4.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $1.5 2026-04-17 with 736 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: AKBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AKBA is currently trading at $1.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.21 to $1.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -13.2) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AKBA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.14, while resistance sits at $1.51. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+252.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $1.21 - $1.45
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 252.0% below Wall St target ($4.40)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $1.21 - $1.45
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.14
Resistance Level $1.51
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 5, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -13.16
Wall Street Target $4.40 (+252.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.9%
Profit Margin -2.3%
PE vs Historical -13.2 vs 12.4 CHEAP
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Last updated: March 06, 2026 5:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard C Malabre SELL 49524 shares 2026-02-02

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Advanced AKBA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AKBA price and gamma walls.

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