ALCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALCO - Alico Inc
$40.94
0.14 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
-0.9%
30d:
+17.44%
90d:
+26.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Feb 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.57
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALCO is currently trading at $40.94, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.03 to $41.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 56.1) is in line with its historical norms (53.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.60, while resistance sits at $43.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.60, while resistance sits at $43.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$37.03 -
$41.36
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.03 -
$41.36
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.60
Resistance Level
$43.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Feb 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
56.08
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
335.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
56.1 vs 53.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.55
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$42.18
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$42.81
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 56→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: February 09, 2026 12:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
3548 shares
2025-08-26
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SELL
2913 shares
2025-08-25
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24789 shares
2025-08-15
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