ALE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ALE - ALLETE, Inc.

ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
$67.92
-0.02 (-0.03%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: December 12, 2025
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.31
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.97
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ALE is currently trading at $67.92, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ALE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: ALE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -7.9% revenue growth

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $67.42
Resistance Level $67.99
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.64
Wall Street Target $70.00 (+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -40.9%
Profit Margin 11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 16.6 vs 16.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $88.30 (+30%)
2-Year Target $114.78 (+69%)
3-Year Target $149.22 (+120%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) PE COMPRESSION $147.92 (+118%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 16.6, Growth: 5.7%) $80.24 (+18%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.6, Growth: 5.7%) $108.91 (+60%)
Bear: (PE: 16.5, Growth: 5.7%) $79.55 (+17%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ALE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALE price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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