SRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRE - Sempra
$93.06
1.69 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
-0.4%
30d:
+3.92%
90d:
-4.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.58
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $93.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.70 to $92.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.85 (+11.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.85 (+11.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$89.70 -
$92.87
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.85)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.70 -
$92.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.10
Resistance Level
$92.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.80
Wall Street Target
$103.85
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.41
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$91.76
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$91.12
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$92.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$153.29
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$118.25
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 8.3%)
$100.51
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.94
Bull Case
$189.35
(+104%)
Analyst growth 88.4%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$172.14
(+85%)
Market implied 88.4%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$62.13
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$94.71
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justin Christopher Bird
SELL
1128 shares
2026-04-01
Dyan Z Wold
SELL
1539 shares
2026-03-16
Jennifer M Kirk
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
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