SRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRE - Sempra
$90.24
-0.19 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
-2.79%
30d:
-4.02%
90d:
-2.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
SRE is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $100 2026-06-18 with 963 OI. Call ratio: 76% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.71
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $90.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.02 to $96.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SRE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.24 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SRE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.24 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$92.02 -
$96.79
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.24)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$92.02 -
$96.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.62
Resistance Level
$95.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.34
Wall Street Target
$104.24
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 17.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.71
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$87.03
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$85.37
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$90.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$154.90
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 8.2%)
$114.65
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$97.45
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.94
Bull Case
$192.34
(+113%)
Analyst growth 88.3%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case
$174.85
(+93%)
Market implied 88.3%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$63.14
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$95.77
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justin Christopher Bird
SELL
1128 shares
2026-04-01
Dyan Z Wold
SELL
1539 shares
2026-03-16
Jennifer M Kirk
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
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