ALHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALHC - Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Common Stock
$23.80
-0.21 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
+4.8%
30d:
+74.49%
90d:
+33.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
Get Alerted When ALHC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALHC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALHC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALHC is currently trading at $23.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.73 to $22.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.9) is in line with its historical norms (36.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALHC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALHC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.73 -
$22.71
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
ALHC is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.73 -
$22.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.17
Resistance Level
$24.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.94
Wall Street Target
$24.92
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.9 vs 36.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.04
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$22.30
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$21.59
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→36)
$23.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.9, Growth: 52.1%)
$80.32
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 52.1%)
$53.11
(+123%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 52.1%)
$45.14
(+90%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.9 to 36.3
Stabilization Target:
$26.23
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dawn Christine Maroney
SELL
30000 shares
2026-04-15
John E Kao
SELL
82299 shares
2026-04-13
John E Kao
SELL
215701 shares
2026-04-10
Top Rated Healthcare Plans Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Healthcare Plans by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CVS
CVS Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$105 | 62 BUY |
|
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incor… |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$411 | 59 HOLD |
|
CI
Cigna Corp |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$341 | 58 HOLD |
|
ELV
Elevance Health Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$419 | 63 BUY |
|
HUM
Humana Inc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$304 | 61 BUY |
Advanced ALHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALHC price and gamma walls.
