ALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALL - The Allstate Corporation
$207.03
2.93 (1.44%)
▲
5d:
-0.06%
30d:
-3.34%
90d:
-0.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.69
Based on -39.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $207.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.75 to $211.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 103.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $201.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $239.57 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $201.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $239.57 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$204.75 -
$211.30
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($239.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$204.75 -
$211.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$201.61
Resistance Level
$210.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.20
Wall Street Target
$239.57
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.2%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$205.58
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$204.14
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$202.71
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$207.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -82.3%)
$506.39
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: -82.3%)
$201.96
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: -82.3%)
$171.67
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $38.06
Bull Case
$149.61
(-28%)
Analyst growth -33.9%, PE expands to 5.9
Base Case
$136.01
(-35%)
Market implied -33.9%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case
$139.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$211.98
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Suren Gupta
SELL
19593 shares
2026-01-07
Suren Gupta
SELL
3786 shares
2025-11-28
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