ALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALL - The Allstate Corporation
$198.99
0.60 (0.30%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.17
Based on -7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $198.99, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $195.59 to $209.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 222.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $200.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $236.76 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $200.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $236.76 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$195.59 -
$209.17
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($236.76)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$195.59 -
$209.17
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$191.13
Resistance Level
$200.04
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.15
Wall Street Target
$236.76
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
222.2%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$195.61
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$192.87
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$190.17
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$198.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -19.3%)
$395.56
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: -19.3%)
$144.63
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: -19.3%)
$122.93
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $30.83
Bull Case
$171.31
(-14%)
Analyst growth -21.1%, PE expands to 7.0
Base Case
$155.74
(-22%)
Market implied -21.1%, PE stable at 6.4
Bear Case
$134.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$206.82
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-22
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