ALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALM - Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
$18.35
-1.19 (-6.07%)
▼
5d:
-7.44%
30d:
-12.64%
90d:
+43.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When ALM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called ALM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.18
65.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALM is currently trading at $18.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.51 to $22.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (38.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 35.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.23 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.23 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.51 -
$22.43
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($23.23)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.51 -
$22.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.91
Resistance Level
$22.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.43
Wall Street Target
$23.23
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
221.2%
Profit Margin
-265.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-35.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 38.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-35.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.51
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.86
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.37
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→38)
$49.12
(+168%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 300.8%)
$130.87
(+613%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 300.8%)
$61.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 300.8%)
$52.63
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 38.3
Stabilization Target:
$67.38
(+267.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+267.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALM showing a specific setup today?
Top Rated Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TECK
Teck Resources Ltd Class… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$49 | 60 HOLD |
|
VALE
Vale SA ADR |
BUY
25 analysts |
$17 | 58 HOLD |
|
WRN
Western Copper and Gold … |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$6 | 56 HOLD |
|
RIO
Rio Tinto ADR |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$100 | 61 BUY |
|
LAC
Lithium Americas Corp |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$6 | 56 HOLD |