AMAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMAL - Amalgamated Financial Corp. Common Stock (DE)
$44.43
-0.22 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
+4.05%
30d:
+9.92%
90d:
+16.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AMAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.12
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMAL is currently trading at $44.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.47 to $43.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.47 -
$43.13
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.47 -
$43.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.64
Resistance Level
$45.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.88
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Profit Margin
33.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.53
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$48.48
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$50.52
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$151.89
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$68.45
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 15.3%)
$58.18
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$63.74
(+43%)
Analyst growth 31.4%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$57.95
(+30%)
Market implied 31.4%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$29.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 11:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sean Searby
SELL
748 shares
2026-04-07
Sean Searby
SELL
4948 shares
2026-04-01
Tyrone Graham
SELL
501 shares
2026-03-04
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