AMAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMAL - Amalgamated Financial Corp. Common Stock (DE)
$40.37
-1.94 (-4.59%)
▼
5d:
-3.88%
30d:
+4.69%
90d:
+5.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.79
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.64
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMAL is currently trading at $40.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.00 to $42.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $36.40, while resistance sits at $44.01. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $36.40, while resistance sits at $44.01. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$38.00 -
$42.10
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.00 -
$42.10
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.40
Resistance Level
$44.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.90
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Profit Margin
33.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.89
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$41.43
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$41.96
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 10.9%)
$127.41
(+216%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 10.9%)
$55.03
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 10.9%)
$46.78
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.41
Bull Case
$61.90
(+53%)
Analyst growth 33.0%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$56.27
(+39%)
Market implied 33.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$28.77
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 24, 2026 7:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sean Searby
SELL
4948 shares
2026-04-01
Tyrone Graham
SELL
501 shares
2026-03-04
Tyrone Graham
SELL
2285 shares
2026-02-20
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