AMCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMCX - AMC Networks Inc. Class A

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$6.71
0.19 (2.88%) β–²
5d: -3.2%
30d: -17.89%
90d: -31.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.92
Based on -3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.67
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMCX is currently trading at $6.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.81 to $8.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.1) is in line with its historical norms (4.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 82.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: AMCX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.33 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $6.81 - $8.08
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.33)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.81 - $8.08
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.47 (7.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.51
Resistance Level $7.27
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.11
Wall Street Target $7.33 (+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 82.2%
Profit Margin 3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.1 vs 4.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.30 (-3%)
2-Year Target $6.10 (-7%)
3-Year Target $5.90 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4β†’5) $6.46 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -11.1%) $25.92 (+298%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: -11.1%) $4.75 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 3.5, Growth: -11.1%) $4.04 (-38%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.66
Bull Case $7.16 (+3%)
Analyst growth -4.4%, PE expands to 4.5
Base Case $6.51 (-6%)
Market implied -4.4%, PE stable at 4.1
Bear Case $4.63 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 4.5
Stabilization Target: $7.14 (+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.6%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Sherin III SELL 5963 shares 2026-03-10

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