AMCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCX - AMC Networks Inc. Class A
$7.71
0.10 (1.31%)
β²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 13, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
β BUY SIGNAL: AMCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.4% annual earnings decline despite 82% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
β BUY SIGNAL: AMCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.4% annual earnings decline despite 82% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.63
Based on -26.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.01
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCX is currently trading at $7.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.89 to $9.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.7) compared to its historical average (4.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 82.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$7.89 -
$9.43
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($7.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.89 -
$9.43
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
Β±$0.78
(10.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.55
Resistance Level
$8.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.73
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(-8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.2%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.7 vs 4.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.12
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$6.67
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$6.24
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4β5)
$7.53
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -56.0%)
$44.75
(+488%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.7, Growth: -56.0%)
$7.48
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.2, Growth: -56.0%)
$6.36
(-16%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.7 to 4.5
Stabilization Target:
$9.18
(+20.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.7%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AMCX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMCX price and gamma walls.