AMRZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$54.19
-0.99 (-1.80%)
▼
5d:
-1.84%
30d:
-13.62%
90d:
+0.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AMRZ is down 6.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-04-17 with 119 OI. Call ratio: 76% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMRZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMRZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.83
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.26
7.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $54.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.23 to $62.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.28, while resistance sits at $56.69.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.12 (+21.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.28, while resistance sits at $56.69.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.12 (+21.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$54.23 -
$62.12
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMRZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($67.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$54.23 -
$62.12
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.29
Resistance Level
$56.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.61
Wall Street Target
$67.12
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.24
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$53.32
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$52.41
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$55.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 16.4%)
$110.52
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 16.4%)
$87.09
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 16.4%)
$74.03
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$84.64
(+53%)
Analyst growth 46.4%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$76.95
(+39%)
Market implied 46.4%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$35.74
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$57.96
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 2:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
12
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Roald Brouwer
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-13
Mario Gross
BUY
3200 shares
2026-03-13
Jaime Hill
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-11
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Advanced AMRZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMRZ price and gamma walls.