AMRZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$52.94
0.32 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
-2.83%
30d:
-2.11%
90d:
+1.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMRZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMRZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.02
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $52.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.55 to $56.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$53.55 -
$56.05
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($57.94)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.55 -
$56.05
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.43
Resistance Level
$55.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.65
Wall Street Target
$57.94
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.57
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$52.20
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$51.84
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$52.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.1%)
$99.28
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 14.1%)
$78.60
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 14.1%)
$66.81
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$64.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 17.6%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$58.43
(+10%)
Market implied 17.6%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$33.78
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$53.98
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 7:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Roald Brouwer
BUY
2000 shares
2025-08-27
Jaime Hill
BUY
500 shares
2025-08-22
Jaime Hill
BUY
4000 shares
2025-08-15
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